IT News (with inputs from Agencies)
Imphal, June 2:
As the final phase of the Lok Sabha election concludes, the fervor and intensity that gripped the nation are momentarily supplanted by an anxious calm. The fate of countless candidates and political parties now rests securely within the confines of electronic voting machines (EVMs), safeguarded in strong rooms across India. With exit polls forecasting a decisive victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), the collective gaze of the nation is fixated on Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the pivotal figure poised to shape India’s immediate political future.
Exit polls for the 2024 Lok Sabha election showed on Saturday the BJP-led NDA emerging as a clear winner, securing around two-thirds of the over 350 seats according to early trends. This prediction marks a significant expansion of the BJP’s social base, including notable inroads into southern states like Tamil Nadu and Kerala. Prime Minister Narendra Modi expressed confidence that people have voted in record numbers to re-elect the NDA government, stating that the “opportunistic INDI Alliance” failed to resonate with voters, who rejected their “regressive politics.”
The ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll and India Today-Axis My India exit polls for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections provide a detailed projection for the northeastern states, indicating a strong performance by the BJP-led NDA across the region. According to both polls, the NDA is poised to secure a significant majority in Manipur. The BJP’s governance in the state appears to have retained sufficient support despite recent ethnic violence, suggesting minimal electoral impact from these issues. Specifically, the BJP is predicted to win both of the state’s Lok Sabha seats, maintaining a robust position.
In Assam, the ABP-CVoter poll projects that the NDA will win 12 out of 14 Lok Sabha seats, leaving the remaining two for the I.N.D.I.A. alliance. This reflects the BJP’s strong presence and organizational strength in the state. Similarly, the India Today-Axis My India exit poll suggests the BJP will secure 10-12 seats, with Congress potentially winning 2-4 seats. The India Today-Axis My India exit poll indicates that in Nagaland, the BJP-NDPP (Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party) alliance is expected to win both of the state’s seats, underscoring their continued dominance in the region.
The exit polls for Tripura suggest a significant victory for the BJP, with the party expected to secure all 2 seats in the state, further consolidating their influence in the Northeast. In Meghalaya, the India Today-Axis My India exit poll projects that the National People’s Party (NPP) will win the most seats but fall short of a majority. The NPP is expected to secure 18-24 seats, the BJP 4-8 seats, Congress 6-12 seats, and the Trinamool Congress 5-9 seats. This indicates a likely coalition scenario, with the NPP possibly turning to the BJP to form the government. For Arunachal Pradesh, the exit polls suggest that the BJP is expected to retain both seats, continuing its stronghold in the state.
The exit poll results across the northeastern states show a clear trend of continued support for the BJP and its allies. The BJP’s strong governance, strategic alliances, and organizational prowess appear to have resonated well with the electorate, positioning the party for a substantial victory in the region during the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
According to India Today’s Axis My India Exit Survey, in Tamil Nadu, out of 39 seats, the DMK is likely to secure 20-22 seats, the BJP 1-3 seats, and the Congress 6-8 seats.
In Kerala, the BJP appears to be securing 27% of the vote share and may win 2-3 out of the state’s 20 seats. The Congress-led UDF is projected to get 17-18 seats, while the LDF may secure one seat. In Karnataka, out of 28 seats, the BJP is expected to win 20-22 seats, with its ally JD(S) likely to get three seats and the Congress 3-5 seats.
In Bihar, the Axis My India Exit Poll predicts that out of 40 seats, the NDA is likely to win 29-33 seats (BJP 13-15; JD(U) 9-11; LJP 4-6), while the INDI Alliance may secure 7-10 seats (RJD 6-7; Congress 1-2). In Jharkhand, out of 14 seats, the INDI Alliance is expected to get 4-6 seats and the BJP 8-10 seats. In Madhya Pradesh, the BJP is predicted to sweep, securing 28-29 out of 29 seats, with the Congress possibly winning one seat. In Rajasthan, out of 25 seats, the BJP is projected to win 16-19 seats and the Congress 5-7 seats.
According to the ABP CVoter Survey, in Kerala, the BJP-led NDA may win 1-3 seats, while the Congress-led UDF is likely to secure 17-18 seats. In Tamil Nadu, the NDA may get two seats, while the INDI Alliance may dominate with 37-39 seats. In Telangana, out of 17 seats, the BJP and Congress are each expected to win 7-9 seats. In Karnataka, the C-Voter Survey predicts the NDA winning 23-25 seats and the INDI Alliance 3-5 seats. In Andhra Pradesh, the NDA is likely to secure 21-25 out of 25 seats.
For Rajasthan, the BJP is projected to win 21-23 out of 25 seats, with the INDI Alliance getting 2-4 seats. In Gujarat, the BJP is expected to sweep, winning 25-26 out of 26 seats. The CNN News18’s Mega Exit Polls suggest that in Kerala, the Congress-led UDF may win 15-18 seats, the LDF 2-5 seats, and the BJP-led NDA 1-3 seats. In Tamil Nadu, the INDI Alliance is likely to get 36-39 seats, with the NDA securing 1-3 seats and AIADMK two seats. In Karnataka, the NDA is expected to win 23-26 seats, while the Congress may secure 3-7 seats.
In Maharashtra, with 48 seats, the NDA is projected to win 32-35 seats, while the INDI Alliance may get 15-18 seats. In Gujarat, the BJP is likely to win all 26 seats. In Andhra Pradesh, out of 25 seats, the NDA may get 19-22, while the YSRCP is expected to secure 5-8 seats. In Telangana, out of 17 seats, the BRS may win 2-5 seats, with the Congress expected to get 5-8 seats and the BJP 7-10 seats.
As India waits for the final results, all eyes remain on Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who is anticipated to lead the nation for another term, shaping the political and socio-economic landscape of India.